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GDP outlook:

GDP (%)
2009
2010
2011
World
-0.6
4.7
4.1
USA
-2.6
2.7
3.0
China
9.1
9.9
8.4
Eurozone
-4.0
1.5
1.6
Japan
-5.2
0.7
2.3
UK
-5.0
1.5
2.0
Germany
3.0
2.2
Brazil
-0.2
7.2
4.5
Canada
-2.5
2.7
2.7
Russia
-7.9
4.5
4.0
India
7.4
8.0
8.2
Australia
1.3
3.3
3.5
Switzerland
-1.9
2.1
2.2
Poland
1.7
3.0
3.4

Last update: 16th june 2011. Market consensus on economic outlook.

Central banks interest rates decisions outlook:

Central bank
Current
Last move
Next announcement
Market forecast
USA Fed
0.125%
-0.875% (16 dec 08)
9 aug 11
unchanged
Euro zone ECB
1.25%
+0.25% (7 apr 11)
13 jan 11
unchanged
UK BOE
0.50%
-0.50% (5 mar 09)
13 jan 11
unchanged
Switzerland SNB
0.25%
-0.25% (12 mar 09)
16 dec 10
unchanged
Japan BOJ
0.05%
-0.05% (5 oct 10)
25 jan 11
unchanged
Canada BOC
1.00%
+0.25% (8 sep 10)
19 jan 11
+0.25%
Australia RBA
4.75%
+0.25% (1 nov 10)
7 dec 10
+0.25%
New Zealand RBNZ
2.50%
-0.50% (10 mar 10)
9 dec 10
unchanged
Sweden Riksbank
1.75%
+0.25% (20 apr 11)
15 dec 10
+0.25%
Norway Norges bank
2.25%
+0.25% (12 may 11)
15 dec 10
unchanged

Last update: 16th june 2011. Market consensus on central bank rates outlook.

Public Debt as % of GDP outlook:

Debt % GDP 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11
USA 64.5 58.8 54.4 56.7 60.1 61.1 61.3 60.8 61.8 70.0 83.3 92.4 98.3
China
Euroland 71.5 68.8 68.4 68.2 69.1 69.5 70.1 68.3 66.0 69.3 78.8 84.7 86.9
Japan 133.3 141.7 152.9 161.4 166.0 178.0 191.1 190.0 187.6 199.0 217.2 226.5 232.9
UK 43.7 40.9 37.7 37.2 38.4 40.0 41.5 42.0 41.6 44.7 52.9 58.3 61.9
Germany
Brazil 49.4 45.5 48.5 50.6 52.3 47.0 46.5 47.0 45.1 38.4 42.8 40.5 39.2
Canada
Russia 98.9 62.4 50.1 41.9 32.3 24.6 15.8 10.2 8.5 7.8 9.9 10.3 10.9
India
Australia 41.8 35.2 32.0 30.3 28.4 27.1 24.6 21.8 13.0 13.2 20.7 27.0 28.9
Switzerland 25.4 25.6 24.8 27.4 27.3 27.7 28.1 25.2 23.2 22.4 20.7 20.5 20.3
Poland 45.2 42.1 38.5 42.2 47.1 45.7 47.1 47.8 45.0 47.2 51.0 54.6 57.0

Last update: 19th november 2010. Market consensus outlook.

If you have any questions on how these markets movements may affect foreign exchange markets, feel free to call us on +44 (0)207 373 2686 or send an email to info@currencychange.com.

 

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